Photo Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
Last week we finished the extended college football week by winning 57% of our bets! This week in college football there are a few very interesting lines that the public is all over, but the money is not. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!
Season Before Week 2: 15-9-3 (63%)
Week 2: 9-5-1 (64%)
Season After Week 2: 24-14-4 (63.16%)
Kansas +27 —
65% of the public is betting on Coastal Carolina and the line has moved from 27.5 to 25 throughout the week. With this reverse line movement it indicates sharp action on Kansas. The line seems to be moving its way back up to 27 before the start of the game, but I believe this is just late money following the sharp action indicated earlier in the week. Betting on a Kansas football team goes against all my knowledge as a college football fan. It’s times like these you have to stay disciplined and follow the money.
Tulsa +14 $$
61% of the public is betting on Oklahoma State and the line has moved from 12.5 to 14 throughout the week, but has since moved back to 12.5. This line movement tells me the sharps jumped in on Tulsa and brought this line down back down. If you’re able to still find a line at 14 hammer it, if not I still like the +12.5.
Miami OH +20 $$
74% of the public is betting on Minnesota and the line has moved from 20.5 to 18 in favor of Minnesota. This line movement is juicy! A 2.5 point reverse line movement, with 74% public popularity is about as good as it gets and a huge indicator the sharps are all over Miami OH. I was able to find a book early with the line at +20, but I still like +18.
USF +31 $$
70% of the public is betting on Florida and the line has moved from 31 to 28.5 in favor of Florida. Sharps are all over USF with this line movement. Another scary bet, but remember to stay grounded and follow the money.
UAB +28 X
58% of the public is betting on Georgia and the line has moved from 28 to 23 in favor of Georgia. Sharps are all over UAB and the 5 point reverse line movement definitely shows that. UAB is a team that has made me money in the past and anytime the line is moving like this in their favor, I don’t think twice betting the Blazers. That being said the closer you can find to +28 the better.
BGSU +17 $$
68% of the public is betting on South Alabama and the line has moved from 17 to 14 in favor of South Alabama. The sharps are on BGSU with this reverse line movement. Betting against BGSU the past two years has been almost automatic, but this Falcon team seems to be playing tough. A three score dog at home with sharps all over the BG. Follow the money, take the Falcons, and don’t watch.
Rice +7 X
55% of the public is betting on Houston and the line has moved from 10.5 to 7.5 in favor of Houston. This line moving down 3 points tells me there is a lot of big money on the Owls. For a team that gave Arkansas everything they could handle for 3 quarters in week one, you can understand why. As I always say, follow the money.
Eastern Michigan +28 $$
80% of the public is betting on Wisconsin and the line has moved from 32 to 26 in favor of Wisconsin. Another major reverse line movement and another dog! The sharps are all over EMU. I know MAC against B1G… scary, but follow the money and hammer the Eagles.
App St. +10 $$
70% of the public is betting on Miami and the line has moved from 10 to 8.5 in favor of Miami. Follow the reverse line movement, follow the sharp money.
Ark St. +6 $$
70% of the public is betting on Memphis and the line has stayed at 6. With 70% of the bets coming in on Memphis and the line staying where it is, this indicates there is sharp money on Arkansas State. Follow the money and hammer the Red Wolves.
Missouri +6 X
77% of the public is betting on Kentucky and the line has stayed at 6. As I’ve previously stated, with 77% of the bets are coming in on Kentucky and the line not moving, it indicates there is sharp money on Mizzou.
BYU +7 $$
68% of the public is betting on Utah and the line has moved from 7.5 to 7 in favor of Utah. BYU is a 7 point home dog and the reverse line movement seals the deal. Take the 7 points.
Toledo +17 $$
Win or lose, this bet is for all those that have lost their life since tragedy struck on September, 11th 2001.