Photo Credit: Joshua Bessex AP

I finished week 10 of the college football season with a record of 11-7-0 (61.1%). I’m not going to call it a heater yet, but we are damn close! Two good weeks is definitely a great rebound to the three week slump. Let’s hope the betting gods have another good week in store and we can officially call this a heater.. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 11: 75-62-6 (54.7%)

Week 11: 7-9-1 (43.8%)

Season After Week 11: 82-71-7 (53.6%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.
  • 67% of the Public is on Buffalo.
  • This line opened at -7 and is now sitting at -7.5
  • With 67% of the public on Buffalo here and the line moving up a half point, it’s an indication of sharp money on Miami(OH) here.
  • Book Miami(OH) -7!
  • 59% of the Public is on Northern Illinois.
  • This line opened at -2.5 and has stayed at -2.5.
  • With 59% of the public on the Northern Illinois and the line staying at -2.5, it’s an indication of sharp money on Ball State.
  • Book Ball State -2.5!
  • 60% of the Public is on Wyoming.
  • This line opened at -14 and has stayed at -14.
  • With 60% of the public on the Wyoming and the line staying at -14, it’s an indication of sharp money on Boise State.
  • Book Boise State -14!
  • 86% of the Public is on Rutgers.
  • This line opened at -6.5 and is now at -7.
  • With 86% of the public on Rutgers and the line moving up a half point, it tells me there is big sharp money is on Indiana.
  • Book Indiana -7!
  • 70% of the Public is on Houston.
  • This line opened at +25.5 and is now at +24.5.
  • 70% of the public is on Houston and the line moved down 1 point. This reverse line movement is caused by sharp money on Temple.
  • Book Temple +24.5!
  • 60% of the Public is on Georgia State.
  • This line opened at -10 and has moved to -12.
  • Georgia State has 60% of the bets and this line has moved up 2 points. This reverse line movement is an indication of big sharp money on Coastal Carolina.
  • Book Coastal -11! I like this line up to -12, but definitely shop around.

Arizona +24

  • 76% of the Public is on Utah.
  • This line opened at +24 and has stayed steady.
  • Having 76% of the bets on Utah and this line staying at +24 all week, it’s an indication there is sharp money suppressing this line at +24.
  • Book Arizona +24!
  • 78% of the Public is on Georgia Southern.
  • This line opened at -2.5 and has stayed steady at -2.5.
  • With 78% of the public on Georgia Southern and the line staying at -2.5, it tells me there is sharp money on Texas State preventing this line from moving down.
  • Book Texas State -2.5! Shop around.

Louisiana Tech -7

  • 58% of the Public is on Charlotte.
  • This line opened at -6 and has moved to -7.
  • With 58% of the public on Charlotte and the line moving up a point, it’s an indication of big sharp money on Louisiana Tech here.
  • Book LA Tech -7!

Southern Miss. +32.5

  • 60% of the Public is on UTSA.
  • This line opened at +32.5 and has stayed at +32.5.
  • With 60% of the public on UTSA and the line staying at +32.5, it’s an indication of sharp money on Southern Mississippi.
  • Take the points and book Southern Miss +32.5! Definitely shop around on this line.

Florida State +2.5

  • 71% of the Public is on Miami.
  • This line opened at +2.5 and has stayed at +2.5.
  • With 71% of the public on Miami and the line staying at +2.5, it’s an indication the sharp money is on Florida State here.
  • Book the Seminoles +2.5!
  • 87% of the Public is on Middle Tennessee.
  • This line opened at +10 and has stayed steady all week.
  • With 87% of the public on Middle Tennessee and the line staying at +10, it’s an indication there is sharp money on FIU.
  • Book FIU +10!

Tulsa -3

  • 73% of the Public is on Tulane.
  • This line opened at -3 and has stayed at -3 all week.
  • With 73% of the public on Tulane and the line staying at -3, it’s an indication there is sharp money on Tulsa here.
  • Book Tulsa -3!

North Texas +1

  • 86% of the Public is on UTEP.
  • This line opened at +1.5 and is now at +1.
  • With 86% of the public on UTEP and the line moving down a half point, it’s an indication there is sharp money is on North Texas.
  • Book North Texas +1!
  • 71% of the Public is on Air Force.
  • This line opened at +2.5, moved to +3, and is now back to +2.5
  • With 71% of the public on Air Force and the line staying at +2.5, it’s an indication there is sharp money is on Colorado State.
  • Book Colorado State +3! I also like this line down to +2.5, but shop around.

Oregon -14

  • 77% of the Public is on Washington State.
  • This line opened at -14 and has stayed steady all week.
  • With 77% of the public on Washington State and the line staying still, it’s an indication there is sharp money on Oregon.
  • Book the Ducks -14!
  • 63% of the Public is on Utah State.
  • This line opened at -4 and is now at -4.5.
  • With 63% of the public on Utah State and the line moving up a half point, it’s an indication there is sharp money on San Jose State.
  • Book San Jose State -4!

Late Additions

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