Photo Credit: Scott Dochterman

I finished week 11 of the college football season with a record of 7-9-1 (43.8%). I had a few incredibly bad beats last week in my college football bets. These bad beats will eventually sway my way, stay disciplined my friends.. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 12: 82-71-7 (53.6%)

Week 12: 6-9-0 (40%)

Season After Week 12: 88-80-7 (52.4%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.
  • 74% of the Public is on Eastern Michigan.
  • This line opened at -5 and is now sitting at -5.5.
  • With 74% of the public on Eastern Michigan here and the line moving up a half point, it’s an indication of sharp money on Western Michigan.
  • Book Western Michigan -5.5!
  • 72% of the Public is on San Diego State.
  • This line opened at +12.5 and is now sitting at +11.
  • 72% of the public is on San Diego State and this line has moved down 1.5 points. This reverse line movement is an indication of heavy sharp money on UNLV.
  • Book UNLV +11!

Florida State +2

  • 80% of the Public is on Boston College.
  • This line opened at +2 and is now at +1.5.
  • With 80% of the public on Boston College and the line moving down a half point, it tells me there is big sharp money is on Florida State.
  • Book Florida State +2!
  • 88% of the Public is on Purdue.
  • This line opened at +11.5 and is now at +11.
  • 88% of the public is on Purdue and the line moved down a half point. This reverse line movement is being caused by big sharp money on Northwestern.
  • Book Northwestern +11!
  • 60% of the Public is on Illinois.
  • This line opened at -12 and has moved to -13.
  • Illinois has 60% of the bets and this line has moved up 1 point. This reverse line movement is an indication of sharp money on Iowa.
  • Book Iowa -13!

Arkansas State +15

  • 66% of the Public is on Georgia State.
  • This line opened at +16 and has moved to +14.5.
  • Georgia State has 66% of the bets and this line has moved down 1.5 points. This reverse line movement is an indication of sharp money on Arkansas State.
  • Book Arkansas State +15!
  • 67% of the Public is on Colorado.
  • This line opened at -5.5 and is now -7.
  • Having 67% of the bets on Colorado and this line moving up 1.5 points, it’s an indication there is sharp money on Washington here.
  • Book Washington -7!
  • 62% of the Public is on Virginia.
  • This line opened at -12.5 and is now -14.5.
  • Having 62% of the bets on Virginia and this line moving up 1.5 points, it’s an indication there is sharp money on Pittsburgh here.
  • Book Pittsburgh -14.5!
  • 77% of the Public is on Navy.
  • This line opened at +4 and has stayed steady at +4.
  • With 77% of the public on Navy and the line staying at +4, it tells me there is sharp money on ECU preventing this line from moving up.
  • Book ECU +4!
  • 64% of the Public is on Tulsa.
  • This line opened at +22 and has moved to +21.5.
  • With 64% of the public on Tulsa and the line moving down a half point, it’s an indication of sharp money on Temple.
  • Take the points and book Temple +22! Definitely shop around on this line.

Georgia Southern +20

  • 60% of the Public is on BYU.
  • This line opened at +20 and has stayed at +20
  • With 60% of the public on BYU and the line staying at +20, it’s an indication the sharp money is on Georgia Southern here.
  • Book Georgia Southern +20!
  • 64% of the Public is on Cal.
  • This line opened at +4, moved to +6, and is now at +2.
  • With 64% of the public on Cal and the line moving down two points, it’s an indication there is sharp money on Stanford.
  • Book Stanford +4! I like this line down to +2, but shop around.

Miami -7

  • 75% of the Public is on Virginia Tech.
  • This line opened at -7 and is now at -7.5
  • With 75% of the public on Virginia Tech and the line moving up a half point, it’s an indication there is sharp money on Miami here.
  • Book Miami -7! I like this line up to -7.5

Utah -3

  • 71% of the Public is on Oregon.
  • This line opened at -3 and has stayed at -3.
  • With 71% of the public on Oregon and the line staying at -3, it’s an indication there is sharp money is on Utah that is suppressing this line.
  • Book Utah -3!
  • 78% of the Public is on Oregon State.
  • This line opened at -2.5 and is now -3.
  • With 78% of the public on Oregon State and the line moving up a half point, it’s an indication there is big sharp money on Arizona State.
  • Book Arizona State -3!

Late Additions

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