Photo Credit: Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images

I finished week 7 of the college football season with a record of 5-9-0 (35.7%). I seem to be on a cold streak..The last two weeks I’ve won less than 40% of my college football bets. I am still in the + 53% range that I strive to stay above, but I need to have a good week 8 to keep pace for the year! I will continue to stay disciplined and follow the sharp money… Remember, with every cold spell comes another heater… As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 8: 49-42-6 (53.8%)

Week 8: 7-10-0 (41.2%)

Season After Week 8: 56-52-6 (51.9%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.

Lines taken off my betting cards on Saturday because of late percentage and line movement changes.

Lines Added Saturday Morning

  • 85% of the Public is on the Coastal Carolina.
  • This line opened at –3.5, moved up to -5.5, and is now at -4.5
  • On Tuesday this line moved from -4 to -5.5, with 90%+ of the public already on Coastal. This is an indication the sharps jumped on ship and then the public took the bait, bringing the line back down to -4.5.
  • Book Coastal at -4.5! Shop around.
  • 75% of the public is on the Colorado State.
  • This line opened at -1.5, quickly moved to -2.5, and has now stayed steady at -3.5
  • The line moving a point when it opened tells me there was sharp money on Colorado State and the public followed shortly after.
  • Book the Rams -3.5!

Georgia State -10

  • 62% of the Public is on Texas State.
  • The line has moved from -9 to -10.5.
  • This line moving from -9 to -10.5 with 62% of the public on Texas State, tells me there is sharp money on Georgia State.
  • Book Georgia State -10! I like this line up to -10.5.
  • 71% of the Public is on Boston College.
  • The line opened at -5 and is now at -6.5.
  • Textbook reverse line movement here! With 71% of the public on Boston College and the line moving from -5 to -6, it tells me there is a heavy sharp money on Louisville.
  • Book Louisville -6! I also like this up to -6.5, but shop around.s

Miami(OH) +6

  • 66% of the Public is on Ball State.
  • This line opened at +6 and is now at +5.
  • With 66% of the public betting on Ball State and the sportsbooks dropping the line down to 5, it’s an indication of sharp money on Miami(OH).
  • Book the RedHawks at +5.5! I like this line down to +5, but shop around.
  • 71% of the Public is on Oklahoma State.
  • This line opened at -6.5, then quickly moved to -7 and has stayed steady since.
  • With 71% of the public on Oklahoma State and this line moving the opposite direction, it’s an indication there is big sharp money on Iowa State.
  • Book the Cyclones -7!
  • 53% of the Public is on Alabama.
  • The line has moved from +27.5 to +24.5.
  • Shortly after this lane opened it moved down to 24.5 and has stayed steady since. With the majority of the public bets on Alabama and this line moving down 3 points, it’s a indicator of HUGE sharp action on Tennessee. I know another week betting against almighty Alabama, but as I said in the intro, I’m staying disciplined and following the sharp money.
  • Book the Volunteers +26, and play “Rocky Top” with pride! Skeptical on this line down to +24.5, so shop around.
  • 65% of the Public is on Mississippi State.
  • The line has moved from +23 to +20.
  • With 65% of the public on Mississippi State and this line moving 3 points in the opposite direction, its an indicator of big sharp money on Vanderbilt causing the reverse line movement.
  • Book Vandy +21! I like this line down to +20, but shop around.

North Texas +21.5

  • 85% of the Public is on Liberty.
  • This line opened at +21.5 and hasn’t moved.
  • With 85% of the public on Liberty and this line not budging, its an indication there is heavy sharp money on North Texas keeping this line from moving
  • Book the Mean Green +21.5, but shop around!

Late Additions

  • ULL/ArkSt Over 70 X
  • Tulane +14 X
  • SJSU/UNLV Under 44.5 X
  • SJSU -6 $
  • Army +4 X
  • Wisconsin -3 $
  • UTSA -6 $
  • West Virginia +5 $
  • Houston -14 X

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