Photo Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

I finished the 9th week of the NFL season with a record of 1-3-0 (25%). I took a step back after taking two steps forward in the two previous weeks. Betting on the NFL has been up and down all year, and Vegas losing money this year has taken its toll on many gamblers.. that being said.. It’s time to get back on track this week!.. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 10: 24-28-1 (46.2%)

Week 10: 4-3 (57%)

Season After Week 10: 28-31-1 (47.5%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.
  • 62% of the public is on the Colts.
  • This line opened at +10.5 and has stayed there throughout the week.
  • With 62% of the public on the Colts and the line staying at +10.5 throughout the week, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Jaguars keeping this line from moving.
  • Book the Jags +10.5!

Jax/IND Over 47.5

  • 70% of the public is on the Under.
  • This line opened at 47.5 and has stayed there throughout the week.
  • With 70% of the public on the Under and the line staying at 47.5 throughout the week, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Over keeping this line from moving.
  • Book the Over 47.5!
  • 68% of the public is on the Under.
  • This line opened at 44.5 and has moved up to 45.5.
  • With 68% of the public on the Under and the line moving up a point, its an indication of sharp money on the Over.
  • Book the Over 45.5, but shop around!

TB/WFT Under 51

  • 62% of the public is on the Over.
  • This line opened at 51.5 and has moved to 50.5.
  • With 62% of the public on the Over and the line moving down a point, it’s tells me there is sharp money on the Under.
  • Book the Under 51! I also like this line down to 50.5.

Sea/GB Over 49.5

  • 70% of the public is on the Under.
  • This line opened at 49.5 and has stayed at 49.5.
  • With 70% of the public on the Under and the line staying at 49.5, it tells me there is sharp money on the Over.
  • Book the Over 49.5!

Raiders +2.5

  • 63% of the public is on the Chiefs.
  • This line opened at +2.5, moved to +3 throughout the week, and is now back to +2.5.
  • With 63% of the public on the Chiefs and the staying at +2.5, it tells me there is sharp money on the Raiders.
  • Book the Raiders +2.5, but shop around!

Late Additions:

  • 49ers +4
    • 70% of the public is on the Rams. This line opened at +4 and has moved down to +3.5. With 70% of the public on the Rams and this line moving down, it’s an indication of BIG sharp money on the 49ers. Shop around and book the 49ers +4!

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