Photo Credit: Ulysses Muñoz (The Baltimore Sun)

I finished the 12th week of the NFL season with a record of 3-2-0 (60%). The NFL season is dwindling, as it does we will see teams making a push for the playoffs, making betting on games much more interesting. We assume a team is going to play hard if they are trying to make that push to the playoffs. Prepare yourself for a fun last five weeks of the NFL season!.. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 12: 33-35-1 (48.5%)

Week 13: 1-3 (25%)

Season After Week 13: 34-38-1 (47.2%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.
  • 51% of the public is on the Over.
  • This line opened at 46 and is now at 44.
  • With 51% of the public on the Over and the line moving up a point, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Under.
  • Book the Under 45!
  • 69% of the public is on the Over.
  • This line opened at 51 and has moved to 49.
  • With 69% of the public on the Over and the line moving down 2 points, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Under.
  • Book the Under 49.5!
  • 63% of the public is on the Raiders.
  • This line opened at +2.5 and is now at +1.
  • With 63% of the public on the Raiders and the line moving down 1.5 points, it’s an indication of sharp money on The Football Team.
  • Book the Football Team +2!
  • 64% of the public is on the Steelers.
  • This line opened at -3.5 and is now at -4
  • With 64% of the public on the Steelers and the line moving up a half point, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Baltimore.
  • Book the Baltimore -4!

Late Additions:

Advertisement

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.