Photo Credit: Browns

In Week 15 of the NFL season my record was 2-3-0(40%). With Saturday and Sunday games, along with all the Covid HOOPLA, this is going to be another interesting week.. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 16: 36-41-1 (46.5%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.

Browns +7.5

  • 75% of the public is on the Packers.
  • This line opened at +8 and is now at +7.5.
  • With 75% of the public on the Packers and the line moving down a half point, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Browns.
  • Book the Browns +7.5!

Cle/GB Over 46.5

  • 50% of the public bets are in on this line.
  • This line opened at 44.5 and is now at 46.5.
  • With 50% of the public on this line and the line moving up 2 points, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Over.
  • Book the Over 46.5, but shop around!

CIN/BAL Under 42

  • 76% of the public bets are on the Over.
  • This line opened at 43.5 and is now at 41.5.
  • With 76% of the public on Over and the line moving down 2 points, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Under.
  • Book the Under 42! I like this line down to 41.5.

LA Rams -3.5

  • 56% of the public bets are on the Rams.
  • This line opened at -3 and is now at -3.5.
  • 56% of the public on Rams and the line moved up a half point. I’m taking a risk betting on this line, because there is no noticeable sharp action, but I really think this should be closer to -7.
  • Book the Rams -3.5!

PHI/NYG OVER 40.5

  • 73% of the public bets are on the Under.
  • This line opened at 40.5 and has stayed at 40.5.
  • With 73% of the public on under and the line staying at 40.5, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Over.
  • Book the Over 40.5!

Late Additions:

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