Photo Credit: anteupconsult.com

In Week 16 of the NFL season my record was 3-2-0 (60%). This is the last week of good games, as the playoff teams will sit their best players in week 18, lets finish strong!.. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 17: 39-43-1 (47.6%)

Week 17: 4-3 (57.1%)

Season After Week 17: 43-46-1 (48.3%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.

Bengals +3.5

  • 57% of the public is on the Chiefs.
  • This line opened at +4 and is now at +3.5.
  • With 57% of the public on the Chiefs and the line moving down a half point, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Bengals.
  • Book the Bengals +3.5!

Jax/NE Over 42

  • 83% of the public bets are on the Under.
  • This line opened at 42 and is now at 42.
  • With 83% of the public on this line and the line staying at 42, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Over.
  • Book the Over 42, but shop around!
  • 66% of the public bets are on the Titans.
  • This line opened at +3.5 and is now at +3.
  • With 66% of the public on Titans and the line moving down a half point, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Dolphins.
  • Book the Dolphins +4!
  • 60% of the public bets are on the Under.
  • This line opened at 39.5 and is now at 41.
  • 60% of the public on Under and the line moved up 1.5 points. This is textbook reverse line movement and a clear indicator that sharp money is on the Over.
  • Book the Over 40.5! I like this line up to 41.

Chargers -7.5

  • 51% of the public bets are on the Chargers.
  • This line opened at -6 and has stayed at -8.
  • With just 51% of the public on Chargers and the line moving up 2 points, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Chargers.
  • Book the Chargers -7.5!

Den/LAc Over 45.5

  • 62% of the public bets are on the Under.
  • This line opened at 45.5 and has stayed at 45.5.
  • With 62% of the public on under and the line staying at 45.5, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Over.
  • Book the Over 45.5!
  • 59% of the public bets are on the Saints.
  • This line opened at +6.5 and has stayed at +6.5.
  • With 59% of the public on the Saints and the line staying at +6.5, it’s an indication of sharp money on the Panthers.
  • Book the Panthers +6.5!

Late Additions:

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