Photo Credit: Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

I finished the 3rd week of the NFL season with a record of 5-2-0 (71%). A HUGE bounce back after an ice cold week 2! This week I don’t care for many of the lines, but I did scope out a few that have a good amount of sharp money. I will be watching all the lines up to game-time on Sunday, so look out for a few late additions.. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season After Week 4: 13-13-0 (50%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.

Wash. Football Team -1

  • 57% of the Public is on the Washington.
  • This line has moved from +2.5 to -1.5.
  • With just 57% of the public on The Football Team and the line moving 3 points, it tells me there is BIG money on Washington with the public here.
  • Book Washington -1! I like this line down to -1.5.
  • 69% of the public is on the Titans.
  • This line opened at -3.5 and has moved up to -6.
  • Playing a Jets team that is in shambles, I expect Derrick Henry to have one of his MONSTER days. This game is going to be out of hand by halftime even with the Titans two best wideouts sidelined.
  • Book the Titans at -6! You could see this line move down closer to game-time because of the Titans wideout situation, so shop around closer to game-time.

Bills -17

  • 51% of the public is on the Texans.
  • The line has moved from 14 to 17.5.
  • With 51% of the public on the Texans and this line moving up 3.5 points, it’s a big indication of sharp money on the Bills.
  • Book this line at -17! Shop around.
  • 70% of the public is on the Ravans.
  • The line has moved from 3 to 1.
  • With 70% of the public on the Ravens and this line moving down, its an indication of BIG sharp money on the Broncos.
  • Take the Broncos -1 at Mile High!
  • 54% of the public is on the Saints.
  • The line opened at 5 and has moved to 7.
  • With just 54% of the public on the Saints and the line moving up 2 points, its an indication that there is BIG money on the Saints here.
  • Book the Saints -7.

Late Additions:

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