Photo Credit:www.pff.com

I finished the 4th week of the NFL season with a record of 2-4-0 (33.3%). Not the best week, but with just two plays my week 4 bets could’ve ended much differently. This week in the NFL there is once again, very few lines with notable sharp action. But I was able to find a few and I will keep an eye out for more line movement closer to Sunday kickoff! .. As always, good luck to all you degenerates and Bet Goodenough!

Season Before Week 5: 13-13-0 (50%)

Week 5: 1-3-1 (33.3%)

Season After Week 5: 14-16-1 (46.67%)

Key Terms:

  • Sharp (Sharp money) – Someone who knows what they are doing in sports betting. Sharps are informed, experienced, successful sports bettors. They might be professional bettors, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Often sharps place bigger bets. When a sharp makes a bet, the sportsbook will likely take note and adjust a response line.
  • Reverse Line Movement – When a line moves away from the side receiving the majority of bets.
  • 61% of the public is on the Steelers.
  • This line opened at +4.5 and has moved down to -1.
  • With 61% of the public on the Steelers and the line moving down 5.5 points, its an indication of HUGE sharp money on the Broncos.
  • Book the Broncos at +1! I like this line down to -1.5.

Bengals +3

  • 70% of the public is on the Packers.
  • The line has moved from +6 to +3.
  • With 70% of the public on the Packers and this line moving down 3 points, it’s indicator of sharp money on the Bengals.
  • Book this line at +3!
  • 60% of the public is on the Over.
  • The line has moved from 46.5 to 43.5.
  • With 60% of the public on the Over and this line moving down 3 points, it’s a big indicator of sharp money on the Under.
  • Book the Under 44! Shop around.
  • 59% of the public is on the Over.
  • The line has moved from 47 to 45.5.
  • With 59% of the public on the Over and this line moving down, its an indicator of sharp money on the Under.
  • Book the Under 45.5!

CHI/LV Under 44.5

  • 70% of the public is on the Over.
  • The line opened at 46.5 and has moved to 44.5.
  • With just 70% of the public on the Over and the line moving down 2 points, its an indication that there is BIG money on the Under here.
  • Book the Under 44.5.

Late Additions:

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.